The White House now says an Iran deal is not expected immediately, with a senior U.S. official telling Axios that approval from Tehran’s leadership could take several days, including signoff from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. U.S. officials are still signaling optimism, but the agreement is not final and could still fall apart.  

Trump is tapping the brakes in public. He says he told his representatives not to rush, warning that both sides must “take their time and get it right,” while keeping the U.S. blockade on Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz in place until a deal is reached, certified and signed.  

The biggest danger remains unresolved: Iran’s nuclear program. Reuters reports that a senior Iranian source says Tehran has not agreed to ship out its highly enriched uranium stockpile and insists the nuclear file is not part of the current preliminary framework.  

That is the issue Israel will watch most closely. A short-term deal could reduce escalation and ease pressure on global energy markets, but without removing Iran’s enriched uranium and blocking the regime’s path to a bomb, it risks becoming a pause that lets Tehran regroup instead of a real end to the threat.