Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has taken an early lead in the race for the 2028 Democrat presidential nomination in New Hampshire, according to a new poll, though one political analyst believes her ultimate goal may be a high-profile challenge to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer rather than a campaign for the White House.

Patrick Allocco, founder of the Zoose Political Index, told Newsmax on Monday that Ocasio-Cortez’s strong showing in the latest University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll highlights the growing influence of the Democratic Party’s progressive wing.

“If there’s one thing that you can be certain of, anything can happen in today’s Democratic Party,” he said. “That poll shows exactly where the progressive base is headed.”

The survey placed Ocasio-Cortez at the top of the prospective Democrat field with 22% support among likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters for 2028. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg followed closely with 21%, while Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona finished a distant third at 9%. California Gov. Gavin Newsom received 8%.

Allocco said his firm has been watching Ocasio-Cortez’s rise for quite some time and believes her current standing is no surprise.

“We’ve been saying since last year that AOC was the one to watch when she showed up around 10% in a poll back in May,” he said. “We said that was her floor, not her ceiling.”

According to Allocco, the absence of a deep roster of nationally recognized Democratic contenders has helped elevate Ocasio-Cortez’s position within the party.

“Since the Democrats have a spectacular bench problem, that puts her in real play,” Allocco said.

Even so, Allocco expressed skepticism about whether Ocasio-Cortez is prepared to serve as president, citing her performance at this year’s Munich Security Conference.

“She proved in Munich, however, she lacks experience to be president,” he said.

Rather than pursuing the Oval Office, Allocco believes Ocasio-Cortez may ultimately set her sights on unseating Schumer in New York, using a presidential campaign as leverage within the party.

“We believe she’ll choose to take on Schumer instead,” he said. “But the presidency could be her 2028 bargaining chip in the party.”

The University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll was conducted between July 15 and July 20 and surveyed 1,458 New Hampshire residents. Among the 648 likely Democratic presidential primary voters included in the poll, the margin of error was plus or minus 3.8 percentage points, while the overall survey carried a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.

{Matzav.com}