
Each time U.S. President Donald Trump threatens renewed strikes on Iran and later backs down, Israel has already spent hundreds of millions of shekels preparing for a possible regional war, according to a report published Tuesday by Calcalist. The newspaper described the pattern as Trump’s “TACO”—“Trump Always Chickens Out.”
Israel cannot assume that each threat will end in another reversal. Trump recently said the United States had come close to launching a major operation against Iran. “We were ready to go,” he said. “It was going to be a massive attack.”
Preparations begin within hours of indications that fighting could resume. The IDF urgently calls in Air Force pilots, technicians and ground crews, prepares aircraft, replenishes supplies and raises the readiness of air-defense systems against possible Iranian missile barrages. Intelligence units and Home Front Command search-and-rescue teams are also activated.
Tens of thousands of reservists may be summoned as the military moves troops, weapons and equipment and reinforces the northern front and Israeli positions in Lebanon. Israel must also prepare for the possibility that renewed fighting with Iran could trigger a wider escalation involving Hezbollah.
Calcalist said the latest episode resembled approximately five previous alert cycles since Trump halted the U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran on April 8. The estimated military cost of the second Iran war rose from NIS 39 billion in mid-April to NIS 51 billion by early August. Around 65,000 reservists are now serving each day, compared with a planned ceiling of approximately 40,000.
The Defense Ministry is seeking an additional NIS 40 billion and owes Israeli defense companies more than NIS 15 billion. Trump later suspended the planned attack and said Iran was prepared to negotiate, but Tehran denied that direct talks had been scheduled, leaving Israel at risk of paying for another full mobilization even if no strike follows.