Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly holding internal consultations on when to call the next national elections, with a growing inclination toward an October date, potentially aligning with the legally scheduled date while planning a strategic move.

According to reports, Netanyahu and his advisers have been weighing multiple scenarios, including the possibility of early elections. However, recent discussions suggest he is leaning toward waiting until October, allowing more time for the current war to unfold and potentially reshape the political numbers in his favor.

Before the conflict, Netanyahu’s political standing was shaky, with polling showing his coalition trailing the opposition and struggling to secure a majority. Some projections had his bloc falling short with roughly 49–52 seats compared to a stronger opposition polling.

But since the war began, the numbers have strongly shifted. Surveys show overwhelming public backing for the military campaign, with support for the war ranging between roughly 80% and over 90% among Jewish Israelis.
At the same time, Netanyahu himself has seen a noticeable boost tied to his role as a wartime leader, with some polls showing support for his leadership rising significantly during the conflict.

Even with improved standing, polls suggest Netanyahu’s Likud party has gained strength but may still fall short of securing a clear governing majority if elections were held today. Tie in the unresolved draft law for the Chardieim, and a very unclear picture unfolds.
This creates a delicate balancing act, wait longer and risk losing momentum, or go too early and fail to translate wartime support into electoral victory. At the same time, legal pressures remain in play, including budget deadlines that could automatically trigger elections if not met.

For now, no final decision has been made. But as usual, Netanyahu is not just managing a war, he is carefully timing a political moment, hoping that momentum will translate into ballot box success in what could be the last elections of his career.