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Matzav

New Polls Show Netanyahu Bloc Gaining Ground as Opposition Struggles for Majority

May 21, 2026·3 min read

Fresh polling data released Wednesday indicates that Israeli Prime Minister Binyomin Netanyahu’s political bloc is strengthening, while opposition parties continue to fall short of forming a governing majority without relying on Arab parties.

A survey conducted by the Kantar Institute for Kan News found that if elections were held today, the Likud party would emerge as the largest faction with 27 seats. Naftali Bennett’s “Together” party would follow with 23 seats.

According to the poll, the “Yashar!” party would secure 16 seats, while The Democrats would receive 10. Otzma Yehudit and Shas would each win 9 seats, followed by Yisrael Beiteinu and United Torah Judaism with 8 apiece. Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am would each receive 5 seats.

Under that scenario, Netanyahu’s coalition bloc would rise to 53 seats. Parties aligned against Netanyahu would control 57 seats, leaving the Arab factions holding the balance with 10 seats.

The survey also showed movement among smaller parties fighting to cross the electoral threshold. Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party climbed to 3.1%, moving closer to reentering the Knesset, while Balad rose to 2.5%. Meanwhile, Blue and White dropped sharply to just 1.1%.

Respondents were also asked who they believe is best suited to serve as prime minister in head-to-head matchups.

In a direct comparison between Netanyahu and Bennett, Netanyahu led with 42% support, while Bennett received 32%. Another 26% said neither candidate was suitable for the role.

Netanyahu also held an advantage over Gadi Eisenkot, though by a narrower margin. In that matchup, 42% favored Netanyahu, compared to 35% for Eisenkot, while 23% said neither was fit to serve as prime minister.

A separate survey conducted by the Midgam Institute for Channel 12 News showed similar trends and found that the Religious Zionist Party would cross the electoral threshold for the first time in a considerable period, winning four seats.

According to that poll, Likud would receive 25 seats, while Bennett’s “Together” party would win 23.

The “Yashar!” party would capture 16 seats, The Democrats 10, Shas 9, United Torah Judaism 8, Yisrael Beiteinu 8, Otzma Yehudit 7, Hadash-Ta’al 5, Ra’am 5, and the Religious Zionist Party 4.

The Reservists Party, Blue and White, and Balad would all fail to reach the electoral threshold, receiving 2.4%, 1.4%, and 1.4% respectively.

Like the Kan News poll, the Channel 12 survey also projected Netanyahu’s coalition bloc at 53 seats, while anti-Netanyahu parties without Arab support would hold 57 seats.

View original on Matzav